Post by account_disabled on Feb 19, 2024 10:32:33 GMT
First the system. Unlike Latin American countries whose system is presidential or semipresidential Spain is a parliamentary system so the president is elected by Congress. That is when Spaniards go to vote they vote for the deputies and it is these who after the Chamber is constituted will have to elect the next President of the Government. To do this the support of 176 deputies is required half plus one in the first investiture session or in the second a simple majority more yeses than noes. Second the data. Feijos aspiration reinforced by poll estimates was to obtain a sufficient majority in which the PP and the extreme right represented by Vox would add by themselves the absolute majority of seats in Congress.
Outside of that scenario any other combination would be very complicated Russia Mobile Number List the right since it would allow the current government to reissue its alliance policy until it adds a progressive alternative majority. And that is just what has happened the PP 136 and Vox 33 add up to 169 seats 171 if you count two minority regionalist parties the Canarian Coalition and the Navarro Peoples Union with one deputy each that could support the conservative coalition far from the absolute majority. For its part the PSOE 122 together with its partner Sumar 31 obtains 153 seats but they can grow to 165 with the more than likely support of the Galician Nationalist Bloc one seat and the nationalists of the Basque Nationalist Party PNV and the leftwing independentists of Bildu 11 seats.
This photograph leaves a scenario of two blocks one on the right and one on the left with very even popular support. Both blocks are made up of a majority party PP and PSOE and a minority party Vox and Sumar. This new arithmetic has an immediate consequence as happened in the last legislature 20192023 the next governments in Spain will continue to be coalition governments. the rightwing bloc was expected to soar in parallel to a debacle on the left especially after the results of the recent municipal and regional elections in which the PP recovered Valencia and established itself.
